Bleeding Turnip
Getting Blood from a turnip is a compliment I receive for my
negotiating skills. In my personal life
it’s become much more accurate as well as I navigate through my own financial
issues. This week I had some challenging
choices to make as to obligations that I have versus things that I get
tremendous value out of versus investments that would yield long term
benefits. There's not enough money for
all three. My situation is not dire, I
have the privilege of choice even though it often doesn’t feel that way. I have friends who have had a much more
difficult time, having to choose between rent, medicine or food. Those decisions dictate survival and are severe.
“Dramatic,” “Draconian,” “Austere” are some of the
vocabulary words the media and politicians are using to describe the $1.5
trillion in cuts that will automatically kick in this December unless certain
thresholds in deficit reduction are met.
This was the compromise agreed to last summer during the Debt Ceiling
debacle.
At first glance $1.5 trillion is a huge number – it’s about
the annual deficit. The US Budget
brings in revenue of approx. $2.3 trillion and has expenditures of approx. $3.6
trillion – or a $1.3 trillion shortfall.
A cursory analysis indicates that the required $1.5 trillion in cuts
would then balance the budget. Alas, no
such luck. The $1.5 trillion in cuts is
to be implemented over the next 10 years – or $150 billion a year. Now that’s still a lot of dough. It works out to about 4% of expenses.
Personal income in the U.S. is largely dependent on
schooling and geography. The median
individual income is $32,140 a year. 4%
of that is $1,285. Spread over a year it’s
$107 per month. For the average
individual, cutting $107 per month is probably doable. It’s certainly not austerity, dramatic or
draconian. Let’s keep that in mind as
the rhetoric heats up – knowing that the $1.5 trillion in cuts isn’t evenly
spread over 10 years as in the example – it’s weighted towards the later years,
so it’s more like 2% being cut in the near future – or using the average
individual they’d have to find $50 per month in savings.
It is simply not sustainable to spend more than is brought in. My own situation proves it – after having
been a part of the upper wage earners for a number of years, my story became like
millions of others through lay off and depleted resources resulting in bankruptcy. (See previous blogs for that journey.) One of the
consequences of that is that I can’t spend more than I bring in – there is no
credit available to me. It’s not
austerity, it’s prudence.
The U.S. (and indeed the global) economy would benefit from
such prudence. It’s naïve (being kind)
to think that there will be a balanced budget in the near future. It’s also not Armageddon if 4% of the
expenditures are cut to begin to align income and expenses. What’s particularly frustrating about this
issue is that it shouldn’t be partisan. As
citizens we should demand that our Government responsibly manage our resources. Each political party can (and should) argue
about how to raise money and what that should be spent on – but whether we
spend more than we bring in should no longer be a point of disagreement or negotiation. Getting the media and politicians to align on
that would be opening a vein in that turnip.
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